Talent Risk Assessor, 3: Separation Codes, Termination Patterns, and What the Data Reveals

In episode three of this special series of Defensible Decisions discussing Ogletree’s Talent Risk Assessor, shareholders Scott Kelly (Birmingham/Washington) and Chris Near (Columbia) are joined by Chrissy Blantz from the firm’s Data Analytics team to examine separations and terminations—an area of the employment lifecycle where legal risk is often most acute. Using a hypothetical multi-state employer, the speakers walk through how a statistically significant flag in overall separation rates can be disaggregated by involuntary versus voluntary terminations and further broken down by separation reason codes to identify the actual driver behind the pattern, in this case, disproportionate use of temporary, time-limited roles. The episode illustrates how a data-driven, legally informed inquiry, conducted under privilege and properly documented, builds a defensible position even when the underlying cause turns out to have a legitimate explanation.